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SV: Scarlet & Violet 151 Cubone 104/165: PSA 9 vs PSA 10

On SV: Scarlet & Violet 151 Cubone 104/165, PSA 10 sells for 4.4x a PSA 9, a $40 delta, which is a wide gem-mint premium. Based on the last tracked PSA 10 sale of $51.00 on Mar 7, 2025, the math leans toward holding the 9: expected value turns negative at conservative upgrade probabilities once the resub fee is in.

SV: Scarlet & Violet 151 Cubone 104/165
PSA 10
$51.00
Last sale $51.00 on
PSA 9
$11.50
Last sale $11.50 on
PSA 8
$26.28
Last sale $26.28 on

The Spread

The PSA 9 to PSA 10 spread on Cubone 104/165 (SV: Scarlet & Violet 151).

$40
Dollar gap, PSA 9 to PSA 10
4.4x
PSA 10 sells for 4.4x a PSA 9

Three-Outcome EV Calculator

15%
70%
15%
Defaults are conservative starting points. Adjust based on the specific slab. A borderline 9 with strong centering plays differently than a 9 with edge wear.
PSA 10 outcome (sale price minus resub minus acquisition) $0
PSA 9 outcome (regrade, no upgrade) $0
PSA 8 outcome (downgrade, slower sell, tied capital) $0
Expected Value
$0
Math favors holding the 9

SV: Scarlet & Violet 151 104/165 Cubone is a modern-era release from 2023. The gap between its PSA 9 and PSA 10 prices is $40.

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