Shining Fates Ball Guy 65/72: PSA 9 vs PSA 10
On Shining Fates Ball Guy 65/72, PSA 10 sells for 4.5x a PSA 9, a $45 delta, which is a wide gem-mint premium. Based on the most recent PSA 10 sale of $50.00 on May 23, 2026, the math leans toward holding the 9: expected value turns negative at conservative upgrade probabilities once the resub fee is in.
PSA 10
$57.50
Last sale $50.00 on
PSA 9
$12.83
Last sale $10.50 on
PSA 8
$18.24
Last sale $19.99 on
The Spread
The PSA 9 to PSA 10 spread on Ball Guy 65/72 (Shining Fates).
$45
Dollar gap, PSA 9 to PSA 10
4.5x
PSA 10 sells for 4.5x a PSA 9
Three-Outcome EV Calculator
15%
70%
15%
Defaults are conservative starting points. Adjust based on the specific slab. A borderline 9 with strong centering plays differently than a 9 with edge wear.
PSA 10 outcome (sale price minus resub minus acquisition)
$0
PSA 9 outcome (regrade, no upgrade)
$0
PSA 8 outcome (downgrade, slower sell, tied capital)
$0
Expected Value
$0
Math favors holding the 9
Where this card lands in the broader Shining Fates picture: a modern-era card carrying a $45 gap between PSA 9 and PSA 10, a 4.5x multiple on the PSA 9 price.
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