Fossil Hitmonlee #7: PSA 9 vs PSA 10

Fossil Hitmonlee #7 shows one of the widest gaps in vintage WOTC between PSA 9 and PSA 10: a $852 dollar gap, with the gem mint multiplier at 6.8x. Based on the last tracked PSA 10 sale of $999.00 on Sep 2, 2025, the crack-and-resub math favors the resub: expected value is positive even at a conservative 15% upgrade probability.

PSA 10

$999.00

Last sale $999.00 on Sep 2, 2025 UTC

PSA 9

$147.50

Last sale $160.00 on May 28, 2026 UTC

PSA 8

$75.74

Last sale $73.00 on May 27, 2026 UTC

The Spread

The PSA 9 to PSA 10 spread on Hitmonlee #7 Fossil.

$852

Dollar gap, PSA 9 to PSA 10

6.8x

PSA 10 sells for 6.8x a PSA 9

Three-Outcome EV Calculator

PSA 9 acquisition cost ($)

PSA resub cost ($)

Probability of each outcome (must total 100%)

PSA 10 (upgrade) 15%

PSA 9 (regrade) 70%

PSA 8 (downgrade) 15%

Defaults are conservative starting points. Adjust based on the specific slab. A borderline 9 with strong centering plays differently than a 9 with edge wear.

PSA 10 outcome (sale price minus resub minus acquisition) $0

PSA 9 outcome (regrade, no upgrade) $0

PSA 8 outcome (downgrade, slower sell, tied capital) $0

Expected Value

Math favors holding the 9

Where this card lands in the broader Fossil picture: a holo with a $852 gap between PSA 9 and PSA 10. The PSA 9 to PSA 10 jump on WOTC-era cards reflects population scarcity at the top grade, not raw print run.

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