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Fossil Raichu 29/62: PSA 9 vs PSA 10

On Fossil Raichu 29/62, PSA 10 sells for 14.7x a PSA 9, a $477 delta, which is an unusually wide gem-mint premium. Based on the last tracked PSA 10 sale of $264.99 on Jan 19, 2026, the crack-and-resub math favors the resub: expected value is positive even at a conservative 15% upgrade probability.

Fossil Raichu 29/62
PSA 10
$511.83
Last sale $264.99 on
PSA 9
$34.91
Last sale $37.34 on
PSA 8
$34.52
Last sale $26.50 on

The Spread

The PSA 9 to PSA 10 spread on Raichu 29/62 (Fossil).

$477
Dollar gap, PSA 9 to PSA 10
14.7x
PSA 10 sells for 14.7x a PSA 9

Three-Outcome EV Calculator

15%
70%
15%
Defaults are conservative starting points. Adjust based on the specific slab. A borderline 9 with strong centering plays differently than a 9 with edge wear.
PSA 10 outcome (sale price minus resub minus acquisition) $0
PSA 9 outcome (regrade, no upgrade) $0
PSA 8 outcome (downgrade, slower sell, tied capital) $0
Expected Value
$0
Math favors holding the 9

Where this card lands in the broader Fossil picture: a WOTC-era card carrying a $477 gap between PSA 9 and PSA 10, a 14.7x multiple on the PSA 9 price.

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