Fossil Raichu #29: PSA 9 vs PSA 10
On Fossil Raichu #29, the PSA 10 premium is one of the widest gaps in vintage WOTC: PSA 10 sells for 14.7x a PSA 9, a $477 delta. Based on the last tracked PSA 10 sale of $264.99 on Jan 19, 2026, the crack-and-resub math favors the resub: expected value is positive even at a conservative 15% upgrade probability.
PSA 10
$511.83
Last sale $264.99 on
PSA 9
$34.91
Last sale $37.34 on
PSA 8
$34.52
Last sale $26.50 on
The Spread
The PSA 9 to PSA 10 spread on Raichu #29 Fossil.
$477
Dollar gap, PSA 9 to PSA 10
14.7x
PSA 10 sells for 14.7x a PSA 9
Three-Outcome EV Calculator
15%
70%
15%
Defaults are conservative starting points. Adjust based on the specific slab. A borderline 9 with strong centering plays differently than a 9 with edge wear.
PSA 10 outcome (sale price minus resub minus acquisition)
$0
PSA 9 outcome (regrade, no upgrade)
$0
PSA 8 outcome (downgrade, slower sell, tied capital)
$0
Expected Value
$0
Math favors holding the 9
Where this card lands in the broader Fossil picture: a non-holo with a $477 gap between PSA 9 and PSA 10. The PSA 9 to PSA 10 jump on WOTC-era cards reflects population scarcity at the top grade, not raw print run.
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