SWSH12: Silver Tempest Victini #23: PSA 9 vs PSA 10
On SWSH12: Silver Tempest Victini #23, the PSA 10 premium is a meaningful PSA 10 premium: PSA 10 sells for 2.9x a PSA 9, a $115 delta. Based on the last tracked PSA 10 sale of $175.00 on Apr 2, 2023, the math leans toward holding the 9: expected value turns negative at conservative upgrade probabilities once the resub fee is in.
PSA 10
$175.00
Last sale $175.00 on
PSA 9
$59.90
Last sale $59.90 on
PSA 8
—
Limited recent sales tracked. Pull eBay sold comps before acting.
The Spread
The PSA 9 to PSA 10 spread on Victini #23 SWSH12: Silver Tempest.
$115
Dollar gap, PSA 9 to PSA 10
2.9x
PSA 10 sells for 2.9x a PSA 9
Three-Outcome EV Calculator
15%
70%
15%
Defaults are conservative starting points. Adjust based on the specific slab. A borderline 9 with strong centering plays differently than a 9 with edge wear.
PSA 10 outcome (sale price minus resub minus acquisition)
$0
PSA 9 outcome (regrade, no upgrade)
$0
PSA 8 outcome (downgrade, slower sell, tied capital)
$0
Expected Value
$0
Math favors holding the 9
Where this card lands in the broader SWSH12: Silver Tempest picture: a non-holo with a $115 gap between PSA 9 and PSA 10. The PSA 9 to PSA 10 jump on WOTC-era cards reflects population scarcity at the top grade, not raw print run.
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