SWSH12: Silver Tempest Lance 206/195: PSA 9 vs PSA 10
On SWSH12: Silver Tempest Lance 206/195, PSA 10 sells for 3.5x a PSA 9, a $47 delta, which is a wide gem-mint premium. Based on the last tracked PSA 10 sale of $65.80 on May 6, 2026, the math leans toward holding the 9: expected value turns negative at conservative upgrade probabilities once the resub fee is in.
PSA 10
$65.80
Last sale $65.80 on
PSA 9
$18.89
Last sale $19.99 on
PSA 8
$16.50
Last sale $16.50 on
The Spread
The PSA 9 to PSA 10 spread on Lance 206/195 (SWSH12: Silver Tempest).
$47
Dollar gap, PSA 9 to PSA 10
3.5x
PSA 10 sells for 3.5x a PSA 9
Three-Outcome EV Calculator
15%
70%
15%
Defaults are conservative starting points. Adjust based on the specific slab. A borderline 9 with strong centering plays differently than a 9 with edge wear.
PSA 10 outcome (sale price minus resub minus acquisition)
$0
PSA 9 outcome (regrade, no upgrade)
$0
PSA 8 outcome (downgrade, slower sell, tied capital)
$0
Expected Value
$0
Math favors holding the 9
SWSH12: Silver Tempest 206/195 Lance is a modern-era release from 2022. The gap between its PSA 9 and PSA 10 prices is $47.
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