SV03: Obsidian Flames Ninetales 199/197: PSA 9 vs PSA 10
SV03: Obsidian Flames Ninetales 199/197 shows an unusually wide gem-mint premium between PSA 9 and PSA 10: a $315 dollar gap, with the gem mint multiplier at 7.2x. Based on the most recent PSA 10 sale of $395.12 on May 29, 2026, the crack-and-resub math favors the resub: expected value is positive even at a conservative 15% upgrade probability.
PSA 10
$365.22
Last sale $395.12 on
PSA 9
$50.59
Last sale $42.00 on
PSA 8
$38.88
Last sale $44.00 on
The Spread
The PSA 9 to PSA 10 spread on Ninetales 199/197 (SV03: Obsidian Flames).
$315
Dollar gap, PSA 9 to PSA 10
7.2x
PSA 10 sells for 7.2x a PSA 9
Three-Outcome EV Calculator
15%
70%
15%
Defaults are conservative starting points. Adjust based on the specific slab. A borderline 9 with strong centering plays differently than a 9 with edge wear.
PSA 10 outcome (sale price minus resub minus acquisition)
$0
PSA 9 outcome (regrade, no upgrade)
$0
PSA 8 outcome (downgrade, slower sell, tied capital)
$0
Expected Value
$0
Math favors holding the 9
Where this card lands in the broader SV03: Obsidian Flames picture: a modern-era card carrying a $315 gap between PSA 9 and PSA 10, a 7.2x multiple on the PSA 9 price.
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