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SV03: Obsidian Flames Kangaskhan #165: PSA 9 vs PSA 10

The PSA 10 to PSA 9 spread on SV03: Obsidian Flames Kangaskhan #165 is a meaningful PSA 10 premium: $10, with PSA 10 copies trading at 2.2x a PSA 9. Based on the last tracked PSA 10 sale of $48.00 on Jul 10, 2025, the math leans toward holding the 9: expected value turns negative at conservative upgrade probabilities once the resub fee is in.

SV03: Obsidian Flames Kangaskhan #165
PSA 10
$18.50
Last sale $48.00 on
PSA 9
$8.50
Last sale $8.50 on
PSA 8
Limited recent sales tracked. Pull eBay sold comps before acting.

The Spread

The PSA 9 to PSA 10 spread on Kangaskhan #165 SV03: Obsidian Flames.

$10
Dollar gap, PSA 9 to PSA 10
2.2x
PSA 10 sells for 2.2x a PSA 9

Three-Outcome EV Calculator

15%
70%
15%
Defaults are conservative starting points. Adjust based on the specific slab. A borderline 9 with strong centering plays differently than a 9 with edge wear.
PSA 10 outcome (sale price minus resub minus acquisition) $0
PSA 9 outcome (regrade, no upgrade) $0
PSA 8 outcome (downgrade, slower sell, tied capital) $0
Expected Value
$0
Math favors holding the 9

Where this card lands in the broader SV03: Obsidian Flames picture: a non-holo with a $10 gap between PSA 9 and PSA 10. The PSA 9 to PSA 10 jump on WOTC-era cards reflects population scarcity at the top grade, not raw print run.

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