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SV03: Obsidian Flames Houndstone ex 102/197: PSA 9 vs PSA 10

The PSA 10 to PSA 9 spread on SV03: Obsidian Flames Houndstone ex 102/197 is a wide gem-mint premium: $21, with PSA 10 copies trading at 4x a PSA 9. Based on the last tracked PSA 10 sale of $19.99 on Aug 11, 2025, the math leans toward holding the 9: expected value turns negative at conservative upgrade probabilities once the resub fee is in.

SV03: Obsidian Flames Houndstone ex 102/197
PSA 10
$27.47
Last sale $19.99 on
PSA 9
$6.88
Last sale $4.25 on
PSA 8
$7.01
Last sale $7.01 on

The Spread

The PSA 9 to PSA 10 spread on Houndstone ex 102/197 (SV03: Obsidian Flames).

$21
Dollar gap, PSA 9 to PSA 10
4x
PSA 10 sells for 4x a PSA 9

Three-Outcome EV Calculator

15%
70%
15%
Defaults are conservative starting points. Adjust based on the specific slab. A borderline 9 with strong centering plays differently than a 9 with edge wear.
PSA 10 outcome (sale price minus resub minus acquisition) $0
PSA 9 outcome (regrade, no upgrade) $0
PSA 8 outcome (downgrade, slower sell, tied capital) $0
Expected Value
$0
Math favors holding the 9

SV03: Obsidian Flames 102/197 Houndstone ex is a modern-era release from 2023. The gap between its PSA 9 and PSA 10 prices is $21.

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