SV01: Scarlet & Violet Base Set Basic Lightning Energy 257/198: PSA 9 vs PSA 10
On SV01: Scarlet & Violet Base Set Basic Lightning Energy 257/198, PSA 10 sells for 1.8x a PSA 9, a $9 delta, which is a modest premium. Based on the last tracked PSA 10 sale of $20.50 on Feb 24, 2026, the math leans toward holding the 9: expected value turns negative at conservative upgrade probabilities once the resub fee is in.
PSA 10
$20.50
Last sale $20.50 on
PSA 9
$11.26
Last sale $7.49 on
PSA 8
$18.67
Last sale $5.00 on
The Spread
The PSA 9 to PSA 10 spread on Basic Lightning Energy 257/198 (SV01: Scarlet & Violet Base Set).
$9
Dollar gap, PSA 9 to PSA 10
1.8x
PSA 10 sells for 1.8x a PSA 9
Three-Outcome EV Calculator
15%
70%
15%
Defaults are conservative starting points. Adjust based on the specific slab. A borderline 9 with strong centering plays differently than a 9 with edge wear.
PSA 10 outcome (sale price minus resub minus acquisition)
$0
PSA 9 outcome (regrade, no upgrade)
$0
PSA 8 outcome (downgrade, slower sell, tied capital)
$0
Expected Value
$0
Math favors holding the 9
Where this card lands in the broader SV01: Scarlet & Violet Base Set picture: a modern-era card carrying a $9 gap between PSA 9 and PSA 10, a 1.8x multiple on the PSA 9 price.
Other SV01: Scarlet & Violet Base Set Heavy Hitters
- SV01: Scarlet & Violet Base Set Drowzee 210/198
- SV01: Scarlet & Violet Base Set Ralts 211/198
- SV01: Scarlet & Violet Base Set Slowpoke 204/198
- SV01: Scarlet & Violet Base Set Wiglett 206/198
- SV01: Scarlet & Violet Base Set Kirlia 212/198
- SV01: Scarlet & Violet Base Set Greavard 214/198
- SV01: Scarlet & Violet Base Set Tarountula 199/198
- SV01: Scarlet & Violet Base Set Armarouge 203/198
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