SV01: Scarlet & Violet Base Set Arven 249/198: PSA 9 vs PSA 10
The PSA 10 to PSA 9 spread on SV01: Scarlet & Violet Base Set Arven 249/198 is a meaningful PSA 10 premium: $27, with PSA 10 copies trading at 2.7x a PSA 9. Based on the last tracked PSA 10 sale of $42.44 on May 10, 2026, the math leans toward holding the 9: expected value turns negative at conservative upgrade probabilities once the resub fee is in.
PSA 10
$42.44
Last sale $42.44 on
PSA 9
$15.51
Last sale $15.00 on
PSA 8
$7.44
Last sale $22.49 on
The Spread
The PSA 9 to PSA 10 spread on Arven 249/198 (SV01: Scarlet & Violet Base Set).
$27
Dollar gap, PSA 9 to PSA 10
2.7x
PSA 10 sells for 2.7x a PSA 9
Three-Outcome EV Calculator
15%
70%
15%
Defaults are conservative starting points. Adjust based on the specific slab. A borderline 9 with strong centering plays differently than a 9 with edge wear.
PSA 10 outcome (sale price minus resub minus acquisition)
$0
PSA 9 outcome (regrade, no upgrade)
$0
PSA 8 outcome (downgrade, slower sell, tied capital)
$0
Expected Value
$0
Math favors holding the 9
Where this card lands in the broader SV01: Scarlet & Violet Base Set picture: a modern-era card carrying a $27 gap between PSA 9 and PSA 10, a 2.7x multiple on the PSA 9 price.
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