SV01: Scarlet & Violet Base Set Pawmot 209/198: PSA 9 vs PSA 10
On SV01: Scarlet & Violet Base Set Pawmot 209/198, PSA 10 sells for 8.8x a PSA 9, a $177 delta, which is an unusually wide gem-mint premium. Based on the last tracked PSA 10 sale of $199.95 on Apr 19, 2026, the crack-and-resub math favors the resub: expected value is positive even at a conservative 15% upgrade probability.
PSA 10
$199.95
Last sale $199.95 on
PSA 9
$22.66
Last sale $20.99 on
PSA 8
$13.50
Last sale $13.50 on
The Spread
The PSA 9 to PSA 10 spread on Pawmot 209/198 (SV01: Scarlet & Violet Base Set).
$177
Dollar gap, PSA 9 to PSA 10
8.8x
PSA 10 sells for 8.8x a PSA 9
Three-Outcome EV Calculator
15%
70%
15%
Defaults are conservative starting points. Adjust based on the specific slab. A borderline 9 with strong centering plays differently than a 9 with edge wear.
PSA 10 outcome (sale price minus resub minus acquisition)
$0
PSA 9 outcome (regrade, no upgrade)
$0
PSA 8 outcome (downgrade, slower sell, tied capital)
$0
Expected Value
$0
Math favors holding the 9
Where this card lands in the broader SV01: Scarlet & Violet Base Set picture: a modern-era card carrying a $177 gap between PSA 9 and PSA 10, an 8.8x multiple on the PSA 9 price.
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