SV: Prismatic Evolutions Umbreon ex #161: PSA 9 vs PSA 10
On SV: Prismatic Evolutions Umbreon ex #161, the PSA 10 premium is a wide gem-mint premium: PSA 10 sells for 3.3x a PSA 9, a $3,711 delta. Based on a recent PSA 10 sale of $6,000.00 on May 31, 2026, the crack-and-resub math favors the resub: expected value is positive even at a conservative 15% upgrade probability.
PSA 10
$5,341.50
Last sale $6,000.00 on
PSA 9
$1,630.69
Last sale $1,846.25 on
PSA 8
$1,238.82
Last sale $1,151.00 on
The Spread
The PSA 9 to PSA 10 spread on Umbreon ex #161 SV: Prismatic Evolutions.
$3,711
Dollar gap, PSA 9 to PSA 10
3.3x
PSA 10 sells for 3.3x a PSA 9
Three-Outcome EV Calculator
15%
70%
15%
Defaults are conservative starting points. Adjust based on the specific slab. A borderline 9 with strong centering plays differently than a 9 with edge wear.
PSA 10 outcome (sale price minus resub minus acquisition)
$0
PSA 9 outcome (regrade, no upgrade)
$0
PSA 8 outcome (downgrade, slower sell, tied capital)
$0
Expected Value
$0
Math favors holding the 9
Where this card lands in the broader SV: Prismatic Evolutions picture: a non-holo with a $3,711 gap between PSA 9 and PSA 10. The PSA 9 to PSA 10 jump on WOTC-era cards reflects population scarcity at the top grade, not raw print run.
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