SV: Prismatic Evolutions Umbreon ex 161/131: PSA 9 vs PSA 10
On SV: Prismatic Evolutions Umbreon ex 161/131, PSA 10 sells for 3.3x a PSA 9, a $3,731 delta, which is a wide gem-mint premium. The crack-and-resub math favors the resub: expected value is positive even at a conservative 15% upgrade probability.
The Spread
The PSA 9 to PSA 10 spread on Umbreon ex 161/131 (SV: Prismatic Evolutions).
The Cross-Grade Read
Where this card sits across grade tiers, and against its own set.
At 3.3x, the gem-mint premium on this card is in line with the set versus the SV: Prismatic Evolutions median of 3.4x, approximately the 63rd-widest gem-mint gap of 114 priced SV: Prismatic Evolutions cards.
There is real money in the gem-mint jump: a PSA 10 trades at 3.3x a PSA 9. It ranks approximately 63rd of 114 in the set for gem-mint spread, in line with the set against the 3.4x median.
Three-Outcome EV Calculator
Where this card lands in the broader SV: Prismatic Evolutions picture: a modern-era card carrying a $3,731 gap between PSA 9 and PSA 10, a 3.3x multiple on the PSA 9 price.
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