Neo Genesis Typhlosion 17/111: PSA 9 vs PSA 10
On Neo Genesis Typhlosion 17/111, PSA 10 sells for 0.2x a PSA 9, a -$1,275 delta, which is a modest premium. Based on the last tracked PSA 10 sale of $375.00 on Dec 30, 2021, the math leans toward holding the 9: expected value turns negative at conservative upgrade probabilities once the resub fee is in.
PSA 10
$375.00
Last sale $375.00 on
PSA 9
$1,650.00
Last sale $1,650.00 on
PSA 8
$328.33
Last sale $285.99 on
The Spread
The PSA 9 to PSA 10 spread on Typhlosion 17/111 (Neo Genesis).
-$1,275
Dollar gap, PSA 9 to PSA 10
0.2x
PSA 10 sells for 0.2x a PSA 9
Three-Outcome EV Calculator
15%
70%
15%
Defaults are conservative starting points. Adjust based on the specific slab. A borderline 9 with strong centering plays differently than a 9 with edge wear.
PSA 10 outcome (sale price minus resub minus acquisition)
$0
PSA 9 outcome (regrade, no upgrade)
$0
PSA 8 outcome (downgrade, slower sell, tied capital)
$0
Expected Value
$0
Math favors holding the 9
Where this card lands in the broader Neo Genesis picture: a WOTC-era holo carrying a -$1,275 gap between PSA 9 and PSA 10, a 0.2x multiple on the PSA 9 price.
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