Jungle Vaporeon 12/64: PSA 9 vs PSA 10
The PSA 10 to PSA 9 spread on Jungle Vaporeon 12/64 is an unusually wide gem-mint premium: $5,806, with PSA 10 copies trading at 20x a PSA 9. The crack-and-resub math favors the resub: expected value is positive even at a conservative 15% upgrade probability.
The Spread
The PSA 9 to PSA 10 spread on Vaporeon 12/64 (Jungle).
The Cross-Grade Read
Where this card sits across grade tiers, and against its own set.
At 20x, the gem-mint premium on this card is an unusually wide gap versus the Jungle median of 4.8x, approximately the 3rd-widest gem-mint gap of 46 priced Jungle cards.
The grade is doing the heavy lifting on price here: a PSA 10 trades at 20x a PSA 9. It ranks approximately 3rd of 46 in the set for gem-mint spread, an unusually wide gap against the 4.8x median.
Three-Outcome EV Calculator
Jungle 12/64 Vaporeon Holo is a WOTC-era release from 1999. The gap between its PSA 9 and PSA 10 prices is $5,806.
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