Base Set Bulbasaur 44/102: PSA 9 vs PSA 10
On Base Set Bulbasaur 44/102, PSA 10 sells for 7.6x a PSA 9, a $292 delta, which is an unusually wide gem-mint premium. Based on the most recent PSA 10 sale of $325.00 on May 29, 2026, the crack-and-resub math favors the resub: expected value is positive even at a conservative 15% upgrade probability.
PSA 10
$336.24
Last sale $325.00 on
PSA 9
$44.06
Last sale $44.00 on
PSA 8
$38.56
Last sale $42.67 on
The Spread
The PSA 9 to PSA 10 spread on Bulbasaur 44/102 (Base Set).
$292
Dollar gap, PSA 9 to PSA 10
7.6x
PSA 10 sells for 7.6x a PSA 9
Three-Outcome EV Calculator
15%
70%
15%
Defaults are conservative starting points. Adjust based on the specific slab. A borderline 9 with strong centering plays differently than a 9 with edge wear.
PSA 10 outcome (sale price minus resub minus acquisition)
$0
PSA 9 outcome (regrade, no upgrade)
$0
PSA 8 outcome (downgrade, slower sell, tied capital)
$0
Expected Value
$0
Math favors holding the 9
Base Set 44/102 Bulbasaur is a WOTC-era release from 1999. The gap between its PSA 9 and PSA 10 prices is $292.
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