Base Set Arcanine #23: PSA 9 vs PSA 10
On Base Set Arcanine #23, the PSA 10 premium is a wide gem-mint premium: PSA 10 sells for 4.9x a PSA 9, a $308 delta. Based on the most recent PSA 10 sale of $399.99 on May 29, 2026, the crack-and-resub math favors the resub: expected value is positive even at a conservative 15% upgrade probability.
PSA 10
$386.66
Last sale $399.99 on
PSA 9
$79.14
Last sale $69.69 on
PSA 8
$41.89
Last sale $42.69 on
The Spread
The PSA 9 to PSA 10 spread on Arcanine #23 Base Set.
$308
Dollar gap, PSA 9 to PSA 10
4.9x
PSA 10 sells for 4.9x a PSA 9
Three-Outcome EV Calculator
15%
70%
15%
Defaults are conservative starting points. Adjust based on the specific slab. A borderline 9 with strong centering plays differently than a 9 with edge wear.
PSA 10 outcome (sale price minus resub minus acquisition)
$0
PSA 9 outcome (regrade, no upgrade)
$0
PSA 8 outcome (downgrade, slower sell, tied capital)
$0
Expected Value
$0
Math favors holding the 9
Where this card lands in the broader Base Set picture: a non-holo with a $308 gap between PSA 9 and PSA 10. The PSA 9 to PSA 10 jump on WOTC-era cards reflects population scarcity at the top grade, not raw print run.
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