Base Set 2 Magikarp 50/130: PSA 9 vs PSA 10
On Base Set 2 Magikarp 50/130, PSA 10 sells for 3.3x a PSA 9, a $69 delta, which is a wide gem-mint premium. Based on the last tracked PSA 10 sale of $100.00 on Apr 25, 2026, the math leans toward holding the 9: expected value turns negative at conservative upgrade probabilities once the resub fee is in.
PSA 10
$100.00
Last sale $100.00 on
PSA 9
$30.64
Last sale $60.00 on
PSA 8
$16.06
Last sale $25.00 on
The Spread
The PSA 9 to PSA 10 spread on Magikarp 50/130 (Base Set 2).
$69
Dollar gap, PSA 9 to PSA 10
3.3x
PSA 10 sells for 3.3x a PSA 9
Three-Outcome EV Calculator
15%
70%
15%
Defaults are conservative starting points. Adjust based on the specific slab. A borderline 9 with strong centering plays differently than a 9 with edge wear.
PSA 10 outcome (sale price minus resub minus acquisition)
$0
PSA 9 outcome (regrade, no upgrade)
$0
PSA 8 outcome (downgrade, slower sell, tied capital)
$0
Expected Value
$0
Math favors holding the 9
Base Set 2 50/130 Magikarp is a WOTC-era release from 2000. The gap between its PSA 9 and PSA 10 prices is $69.
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